▶ THE RECEIPTS — DOES THE GRADE PREDICT ANYTHING?
Graded on their past. Checked on their next calls.
anyone can show you the rugs they flagged after the fact. so we did it the hard way: for 464 callers we took their calls in order, graded them on the earlier half only, then looked at what the later half did. 5,835 calls the grade never saw.
THE NEXT CALL, BY THE GRADE WE'D HAVE GIVEN
big number: callers we'd have graded D or F (110). small number: graded B or better (232).
| GRADED | CALLERS | NEXT CALLS | SOLD INTO YOU | COST YOU | DIED | 2× SHOT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B or better | 232 | 2,805 | 12% | 71% | 42% | 27% |
| C | 122 | 1,525 | 18% | 77% | 43% | 25% |
| D | 88 | 1,195 | 28% | 82% | 40% | 22% |
| F | 22 | 310 | 50% | 88% | 42% | 18% |
read the last columns too: whether the coin died, and the chance of a 2×, barely move with the grade. karma doesn't find you winners, it finds you the people less likely to make you their exit, and whose calls cost you less. the F row is 22 callers, so treat its exact numbers as rough.
GRADED D OR F → THEIR NEXT CALL
-23%caller sold- -62%caller sold
- -16%caller sold
- -98%caller sold
- -22%caller sold
- 0%caller sold
- -91%caller sold
- -91%caller sold
GRADED B OR BETTER → THEIR NEXT CALL
- 4.6×peak in 24h
- 1.6×peak in 24h
- 1.6×peak in 24h
- 28.9×peak in 24h
- 2.5×peak in 24h
- 2.1×peak in 24h
- 6.8×peak in 24h
- 2.3×peak in 24h
examples, one per caller, the most recent of each kind. good calls from bad callers and bad calls from good callers exist too, which is why the table above is the claim and these are the faces on it.
how: each caller needs ≥8 settled calls. the grade on the earlier half is the same model the site ships. one honest leak: the market averages the grade is measured against were fit on everyone's full history. rebuilt 2026-10-15. the audit has the rest.
